Australia's Migration Hits Three-Year Low, Still Key to Population Growth

December 19, 2025
Australia's Migration Hits Three-Year Low, Still Key to Population Growth
  • Australia’s net overseas migration (NOM) for the 2024-25 financial year fell to 305,600, a three-year low that nonetheless supports ongoing population growth.

  • Despite the slower pace of arrivals, migration remains a major driver of growth, with net overseas migration accounting for about 61% of the June-quarter population increase and roughly 84% of Australia’s 1.6 million population gain since the 2022 election.

  • Some critics argue the migration surge has fueled social division and wealth disparity, estimating unmanaged mass migration added about 1.27 million people over the past three years.

  • Net overseas migration declined by 124,000 from the prior year, marking the second consecutive annual drop since the 2022-23 peak.

  • Net migrant arrivals are about 3% higher than in 2018-2019, while net departures are roughly 15% lower.

  • The budget update plans to raise an extra $740 million from higher visa charges for primary students and student guardians.

  • Migrant departures rose to 263,000 in 2024-25, up from 232,000 the previous year.

  • Migration remains above mid-year forecasts (305,600 actual vs 260,000 expected) and contrasts with Canada’s population changes amid policy shifts.

  • In the June quarter, NOM rose by 50,120, the smallest quarterly increase since the pandemic lull in 2021.

  • Forecasts project NOM at about 310,000 for the year to June 2026, modestly above March expectations but above May’s view of 260,000.

  • The decline in new migrants was driven by a 14% drop in new arrivals, especially temporary visa holders, alongside a 13% rise in departures.

  • Since 2022, roughly 1.3 million people have arrived from overseas under the current government, composing about 84% of the population increase.

Summary based on 2 sources


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Sources

Migrant intake hits three-year low but population continues to grow

Surprising migration trend revealed

news.com.au — Australia’s leading news site for latest headlines • Dec 19, 2025

Surprising migration trend revealed

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