Bitwise CIO: MicroStrategy Unlikely to Sell Bitcoin Despite Market Fears and MSCI Index Changes

December 4, 2025
Bitwise CIO: MicroStrategy Unlikely to Sell Bitcoin Despite Market Fears and MSCI Index Changes
  • The main event is that Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan says there is no mechanism forcing Strategy to sell its Bitcoin, even amid market fears and MSCI index changes.

  • Hougan argues Strategy’s large Bitcoin holdings are unlikely to be dumped if MSCI delists it, easing concerns about forced sales.

  • He also contends the fear of MicroStrategy (MSTR) selling its Bitcoin due to MSCI delisting is unfounded and not a major risk to Bitcoin or MSTR.

  • The analysis emphasizes that price volatility narratives miss the more important solvency realities, with balance sheet strength and operational strategy as true tests, not listing status.

  • Broader industry concerns are noted, including the pace of market-structure legislation and potential bankruptcy risk for smaller crypto reserve firms, with cautious near-term demand outlook for crypto reserves in 2026.

  • Strategy discloses about $1.44 billion in USD reserves to fund dividends and debt interest, supported by at-the-market stock sales, alongside roughly 650,000 BTC and a recent purchase of 130 BTC at about $89,960 each.

  • The piece frames the situation as reassuring for market stability and invites discussion on institutional crypto investment beyond headline risks.

  • Bitcoin trades near $92,000, with Strategy’s average purchase price below current price, signaling a favorable position amid declines.

  • Bitcoin sits roughly 27% below its all-time high and about 24% above Strategy’s average buy-in, providing a cushion before any potential sale.

  • The overall takeaway is that executives expect to keep Bitcoin despite volatility and index considerations, prioritizing capital stability and long-term strategy over forced liquidation.

  • Investors are urged to perform due diligence on debt levels, redemption rules, and custody arrangements when evaluating crypto investment trusts, as structures vary.

  • Saylor emphasizes Strategy is a publicly traded operating company with a $500 million software business and uses Bitcoin as productive capital, not defined by index status.

Summary based on 8 sources


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