Trump's Tariff Hike Sparks EU Retaliation and Economic Slowdown Concerns

April 7, 2025
Trump's Tariff Hike Sparks EU Retaliation and Economic Slowdown Concerns
  • On April 2, 2025, President Trump announced a 10% baseline tariff on all U.S. imports, which will also affect around 60 countries with increased levies.

  • As a result of these tariffs, EU member states will face 25% import duties on key products such as steel, aluminum, and automobiles, along with a 20% reciprocal tariff on nearly all other exports to the U.S. starting April 9, 2025.

  • In response, the European Union is considering retaliatory tariffs on approximately $28 billion of U.S. goods, targeting a range of products from dental floss to diamonds.

  • Yannis Stournaras, Governor of the Bank of Greece, warned that these escalating trade tensions could reduce Eurozone economic growth by 0.5 to 1 percentage points.

  • The European Central Bank (ECB) projects that a blanket U.S. tariff of 25% on European imports could lower growth by 0.3 percentage points in the first year, with EU counter-tariffs increasing this to 0.5 percentage points.

  • The anticipated EU retaliatory tariffs could further amplify this impact, potentially cutting growth by an additional 0.5 percentage points.

  • Stournaras described the tariffs as inherently deflationary, noting that U.S. actions have contributed to an unprecedented level of global policy uncertainty.

  • He cautioned that a decline in economic activity could hinder growth expectations and push inflation below target levels.

  • The ECB's next rate decision is scheduled for April 17, 2025, as eurozone inflation eased slightly to 2.2% in March 2025, down from 2.3% in February.

  • In 2024, the EU imported €334 billion worth of goods from the U.S. while exporting €532 billion to the American market.

  • Stournaras emphasized that escalating trade tensions could significantly decrease global demand, leading to a sharp slowdown in the Eurozone economy.

  • His comments were made in an interview with the Financial Times, highlighting the potential impact of a global trade war on the Eurozone's economy.

Summary based on 2 sources


Get a daily email with more Macroeconomics stories

More Stories