Apple Tops Global Smartphone Market in 2025; Analysts Warn of 2026 Challenges
January 12, 2026
Apple led global smartphone shipments in 2025 with a 20% share, ahead of Samsung at 19% and Xiaomi at 13%, driven by the iPhone 17’s performance across developing and mid-tier markets.
Analysts say 2025 marked the second consecutive year of global growth, aided by a post-COVID upgrade cycle, but warn of potential 2026 softness from DRAM/NAND shortages and rising component costs, with price hikes already underway; Counterpoint trimmed 2026 shipment forecasts by about 3%.
The report notes a shift toward higher-priced devices in 2025 and rising demand for 5G-enabled smartphones in developing regions, supporting revenue growth despite overall market expansion of around 2%.
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From a financial perspective, firms should assess customer satisfaction, long-term value, and returns on innovation, with service networks and subscription revenue reinforcing sustainable profitability.
No external data beyond the report's headline findings and researchers’ affiliations were included.
Surrounding content largely consists of sponsor promotions and podcast links, which provide context but are not core market news.
Counterpoint Research is cited, with a disclaimer noting AI assistance and editorial review.
Strategic implications for stakeholders include bullish sentiment around AI and services, regulatory scrutiny over ecosystem openness, and Apple’s continued emphasis on brand loyalty and cross-product integrations for growth.
Near-term risk combines softening device demand with rising costs and stricter regulations, potentially impacting volumes, timelines, or margins unless the next product-and-services cycle sustains premium pricing.
U.S. stock indices opened lower amid broader market concerns, including political pressure on the Fed and potential caps on credit-card interest rates affecting financials.
Context centers on market dynamics, competitive positioning, and implications for stakeholders in the mobile ecosystem.
Summary based on 35 sources
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Sources

Forbes • Jan 12, 2026
Apple Is The Fastest-Growing Major Smartphone Maker Globally
Mashable • Jan 12, 2026
Apple surpasses Samsung to become the world's number one smartphone maker
Economic Times • Jan 12, 2026
Apple leads global smartphone market with 20% share in 2025, says Counterpoint
9to5Mac • Jan 12, 2026
iPhone market share now bigger than Samsung