Construction Sector Faces Uncertainty Despite Easing Inflation and Infrastructure Optimism

January 7, 2026
Construction Sector Faces Uncertainty Despite Easing Inflation and Infrastructure Optimism
  • Despite budget-related uncertainty easing, activity remains constrained by delayed spending, though there is growing optimism that activity could pick up as infrastructure spending projects advance and borrowing costs decline.

  • Firms’ optimism is tied to expectations of rising infrastructure spending, especially in utilities, with easing inflation supporting demand across construction.

  • Budget-related uncertainty had initially restrained spending and contributed to weak sales pipelines as the year closed.

  • The housebuilding subindex dropped to a 2020 low, signaling a deep slump in housing construction amid weak demand and fragile client confidence.

  • The December reading missed market expectations, underscoring a slowdown well below growth threshold.

  • Budget developments and a planned mansion tax from 2028 are noted as potential headwinds for housing and construction activity.

  • Analysts expect only modest growth or continued subdued activity in 2026 for construction amid entrenched negative sentiment and limited impact from budget measures and rate cuts.

  • Builders report fragile client confidence and reduced workloads due to weaker demand and delayed investment decisions ahead of the autumn Budget.

  • Survey respondents describe fragile client confidence and reduced demand, contributing to smaller workloads as the year ends.

  • Clients delaying investment decisions ahead of the autumn Budget further reduced workloads and weakened sales pipelines.

  • Input cost inflation eased to a 14‑month low, while subcontractor rates rose at the slowest pace in about a year, reflecting softer demand and competitive pressures.

  • The S&P Global UK construction PMI fell to 40.1 in December, indicating ongoing contraction for the 12th consecutive month with a slower rate of decline.

Summary based on 11 sources


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