MicroStrategy's Bitcoin Strategy Could Face Turbulence Amid Potential Market Crashes
February 16, 2026
Strategy (MSTR) holds about 714,644 BTC worth roughly $49 billion, using Bitcoin reserves as a cushion against debt obligations, with a claim that BTC would need to crash about 88% to evenly match its convertible debt.
The company’s equitization plan aims to reduce liabilities and repayment pressure, though it could dilute existing shareholders due to new share issuance.
Saylor has signaled potential additional Bitcoin purchases, with a chart on X suggesting ongoing accumulation and possibly marking the 12th consecutive week of purchases if confirmed.
Market implications could ripple through crypto markets, ETFs, miners, and leveraged traders as forced liquidations or margin-driven sales unfold.
The article includes a note that it links to third-party sites and is informational, not financial advice, urging readers to conduct their own research.
Key factors shaping outcomes include how fast BTC declines, the debt structure (secured vs unsecured, with short maturities), and liquidity access that could trigger stress and rapid liquidations.
Refinancing could become difficult if BTC stays depressed, potentially leading to higher yields or failure to secure new debt in stressed conditions.
In a severe BTC downturn, refinancing may hinge on high yields or dilution to raise capital to avoid default.
Collateral liquidation by secured lenders could occur below $5,000, risking broad equity weakness and possible bankruptcy or restructuring.
A stress floor around $8,000 is not a hard survival line; actual risk depends on leverage, covenants, liquidity, and the speed of price declines.
Summary mirrors KuCoin reporting on Saylor’s plan, with context on market impact, regulatory considerations, and future expectations.
Convertible notes remain serviceable with staggered maturities, giving management time to restructure or refinance over several years.
Summary based on 9 sources
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Sources

CoinDesk • Feb 16, 2026
Michael Saylor's Strategy says it can survive a bitcoin (BTC) price crash to $8,000
CoinMarketCap • Feb 16, 2026
Strategy Plans To Convert $6B Debt to Equity
Cointelegraph • Feb 16, 2026
Strategy Plans To Equitize Convertible Debt Over Time