SNP and Plaid Cymru Elections Could Trigger UK Political Shake-Up and Scottish Independence Vote
May 3, 2026
SNP aims for a record fifth consecutive Holyrood win on May 7, which could enable a second Scottish independence referendum, while Plaid Cymru looks to unseat Labour in the Senedd for the first time in devolution history.
Flynn, who is running for Holyrood, argues that a SNP majority in Holyrood would unlock a second Scottish independence referendum and points to the 2014 referendum as a precedent for breaking the electoral system.
The discussion occurred during an interview on Sky News’ Sunday Morning with Trevor Phillips, where Flynn stressed the urgency of the upcoming elections and their potential constitutional consequences.
He argued that the Westminster establishment is unprepared for a democratic shift on these islands and suggested a new leadership, notably under John Swinney in Scotland, could emerge amid perceived global chaos.
Flynn claimed voting SNP would deliver stable leadership for Scotland and a renewed push for independence, while warning that the Westminster establishment is not ready for the potential democratic shifts.
The SNP’s hoped-for victory in Holyrood, paired with a Plaid Cymru win in Wales, could trigger a referendum on Scotland’s independence and potentially shake up the UK government, with warnings that Keir Starmer may not be in office by the end of the following week.
The interview framed Flynn’s view that the polls could reshape UK politics, with possible fallout including leadership changes at Westminster and significant constitutional shifts.
Flynn said a SNP victory would provide Scotland with stable, strong leadership under John Swinney and argued the UK is broken beyond repair, advocating a transformative path through independence.
Summary based on 4 sources
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Sources

Oxford Mail • May 3, 2026
UK facing constitutional shock in Scottish and Welsh elections – Stephen Flynn
Reading Chronicle • May 3, 2026
UK facing constitutional shock in Scottish and Welsh elections – Stephen Flynn
Malvern Gazette • May 3, 2026
UK facing constitutional shock in Scottish and Welsh elections – Stephen Flynn
Chester and District Standard • May 3, 2026
UK facing constitutional shock in Scottish and Welsh elections – Stephen Flynn