U.S. Crypto Policy Heats Up: New Tax Rules and Prediction Market Regulation Proposed

June 15, 2026
U.S. Crypto Policy Heats Up: New Tax Rules and Prediction Market Regulation Proposed
  • The U.S. crypto policy scene is heating up this summer, with a House Ways and Means Committee hearing on digital asset tax legislation signaling potential new tax rules and the CFTC proposing rules to regulate prediction markets, marking a broader shift toward taxation and tighter oversight of crypto activities.

  • Readers should verify information independently, and expect potential updates to the content as regulatory debates evolve.

  • Sam Bankman-Fried’s 2023 fraud and conspiracy conviction was upheld by the Second Circuit, reinforcing the criminal verdict despite ongoing appeals in related cases.

  • The enforcement backdrop expands as regulators prepare for SEC innovation exemptions and continue debates over how to classify and oversee crypto-adjacent products within existing financial and gaming laws.

  • Gary Gensler joined amicus briefs arguing that the term swaps in Dodd-Frank was not meant to cover sports-betting-like activities, while the CFTC pursues actions against New Mexico over whether sports-related prediction markets should be regulated as swaps at the federal level.

  • Regulatory and legal actions are shaping the industry, including Gensler’s amicus involvement and the CFTC’s lawsuit over sports-betting classification in prediction markets.

  • Industry observers see a convergence of tax policy, enforcement, and innovation regulation as a defining theme for the current crypto policy cycle.

  • The CFTC issued a proposal to regulate prediction markets and is seeking public comment on which contracts are regulated swaps versus non-swaps, signaling a formal regulatory framework.

  • Under the proposal, the CFTC aims to define gaming activities and determine which contracts fall under federally regulated swap products, inviting public input as part of a broader digital-asset regulation push.

  • The U.S. crypto policy debate now spans digital asset taxation, prediction market regulation, and enforcement disputes alongside debates over market structure legislation.

  • The House hearing on digital asset taxation focused on clarifying tax treatment for cryptocurrencies and identifying policy gaps, signaling substantial work ahead before any tax bills reach the floor.

  • In sum, lawmakers are weighing gaps, urgency, and practical tax approaches for crypto, as the process moves forward.

Summary based on 2 sources


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