EU Threatens Trade 'Bazooka' Against China Amid Surging Deficit and Strategic Tensions

August 27, 2026
EU Threatens Trade 'Bazooka' Against China Amid Surging Deficit and Strategic Tensions
  • China’s continued use of export restrictions on critical minerals and its reluctance to address non-market economy concerns complicate efforts to issue a joint communique on global imbalances.

  • The EU faces a first-ever collective trade deficit with China and warns it is ready to activate trade defense measures if dialogue with Beijing fails to yield results.

  • EU talks between Trade Commissioner Maroš Šefčovič and Chinese Commerce Minister Wang Wentao in June aimed to intensify consultations and set a tangible October deadline, including launching a new trade and investment consultation forum.

  • The EU’s trade deficit with China runs at about EUR 1 billion per day, with October identified as the cutoff to reach an agreement that restores balance in commercial ties.

  • Global bond market volatility intensified amid debt and inflation concerns, with Japan’s 10-year yield hitting 3% for the first time since 1996, signaling investor anxiety.

  • Developments in global bond markets reflect energy-driven inflation and monetary tightening pressures, contributing to wider financial-market unease.

  • Germany’s Lars Klingbeil warned that Iran tensions and tariff disputes, tied to U.S.-Israel led concerns, are dragging on global growth and eroding trust and economic activity.

  • Japan’s Satsuki Katayama urged the removal of arbitrary export restrictions on critical minerals, warning of negative spillovers for the global economy.

  • China’s use of rare-earth export controls and subsidies is viewed as a concern for non-Chinese economies, with warnings about adverse effects of arbitrary restrictions.

  • Merz argued that the yuan is undervalued by roughly 25–30%, a claim raised during a June 2026 G7 discussion to push for policy action beyond market forces.

  • U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent warned that tougher tariffs could redirect Chinese goods to other markets, a shift he says is already beginning.

  • Bessent also urged partners to act to safeguard jobs, arguing that tariff retaliation would push Chinese exports toward alternative markets.

Summary based on 11 sources


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