Gravitational Torque Key to Earth's Rotation Variations Over Decades, Study Finds

September 23, 2026
Gravitational Torque Key to Earth's Rotation Variations Over Decades, Study Finds
  • A new study integrates seismology, geomagnetic data, and core-flow modeling to show that gravitational torques between the inner core and mantle drive multidecadal changes in Earth's rotation, causing day-length variations of a few milliseconds.

  • Over a proposed 70-year cycle, the inner core wobbles about 2.35 degrees relative to the mantle; around 2010 the wobble’s direction shifted, after which the core appears to move backward from the mantle’s perspective.

  • The variation appears to originate from deep Earth interactions among the inner core, outer core, and mantle, influencing rotational dynamics on decadal timescales.

  • Context and sources include the Nature study, earlier work by Yang and Song (2023), and university communications framing the discovery.

  • Electromagnetic coupling yields MAP estimates of about 1.4×10^19 N·m with a relaxation timescale near a decade, while topographic coupling can reach ≈4.2×10^19 N·m with timescales from about 1.7 to 21.5 years, and similar overall length-of-day fits.

  • Researchers Huifeng Zhang and Mathieu Dumberry used statistical models to compare observed data from the last six decades and quantify contributions from the three coupling mechanisms.

  • Building on a 2023 Peking University study suggesting a 70-year rhythm, the new model provides the physical mechanism behind the motion.

  • A Bayesian inversion explores gravitational torque strength, inner-core relaxation time, and coupling parameters to fit 1964–2019 multidecadal ΔLOD, with gravitational torque generally dominating over resisting CMB torques.

  • Results indicate multidecadal ΔLOD arise from small imbalances between long-term gravitational torque and CMB torques, with gravity driving the net changes and CMB torques acting as opposition.

  • Constraints suggest a low-degree geoid/topography at the CMB and a shallow, low-viscosity interface between inner and outer core, aligning with emerging mantle dynamics concepts.

  • Over roughly a decade, the core’s surface deforms by about ten meters due to this motion, though the effect is minute and not detectable at the surface.

  • The inner core behaves as a viscous, extremely hot solid, enabling slow, pendulum-like deformation under extreme conditions.

Summary based on 7 sources


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