Qualcomm Tops Q1 Estimates, Issues Cautious Q2 Guidance Amid Memory Supply Challenges

February 4, 2026
Qualcomm Tops Q1 Estimates, Issues Cautious Q2 Guidance Amid Memory Supply Challenges
  • Qualcomm beat on fiscal Q1 revenue of $12.3 billion and EPS of $2.78, topping estimates, but issued cautious Q2 guidance with revenue between $10.2 billion and $11 billion and adjusted EPS of $2.45 to $2.65 due to ongoing memory supply constraints.

  • QCT posted $10.6 billion in revenue, led by a record $7.8 billion in handset revenue, with IoT and automotive seeing growth and QTL delivering $1.6 billion at a 77% EBITDA margin.

  • Management warned near-term weakness in the handset line from memory shortages affecting production, contributing to conservative guidance.

  • Executives cited near-term uncertainty in memory supply and pricing amid strong AI memory demand, plus OEMs in China trimming handset build plans and channel inventory.

  • CEO Cristiano Amon stressed that premium handset demand remains strong and reaffirmed Qualcomm’s long-term FY2029 revenue goals despite short-term headwinds.

  • Strategic momentum includes multiple AI and data-center initiatives, with acquisitions of Alpha Wave SEMI and Ventana Micro Systems to bolster AI compute and RISC-V capabilities, and broader Robot/IoT expansion.

  • Qualcomm also highlighted design wins and partnerships across automotive and industrial sectors, including a long-term infotainment supply agreement with Volkswagen and ongoing robotics and IoT initiatives.

  • In the quarter, Qualcomm returned about $3.6 billion to shareholders through $2.6 billion in buybacks and $949 million in dividends.

  • Broad earnings context noted ongoing AI-driven demand and continued capital expenditure in tech, shaping expectations for the sector.

  • Analyst Q&A emphasized memory constraints as the main driver of near-term handset weakness, with continued automotive momentum and data center traction from humane and hyperscaler engagements.

  • Qualcomm plans to develop AI chips (AI200, AI250) to compete in AI compute markets alongside AMD and NVIDIA.

  • Analysts expected stronger Q2 results than guided, reflecting the memory supply constraints impacting handset and margins.

Summary based on 9 sources


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