UK Tax Hikes Trigger Employer Fears: Rising Redundancies and Falling Business Confidence

February 18, 2025
UK Tax Hikes Trigger Employer Fears: Rising Redundancies and Falling Business Confidence
  • The Federation of Small Businesses (FSB) reported that confidence among its members has plummeted to the lowest level since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, particularly impacting those in the accommodation and food services sectors.

  • Recent tax increases imposed by the government have sparked significant concerns among British employers, leading many to warn of impending redundancies and a notable decline in small business confidence.

  • A survey conducted by the Chartered Institute of Personnel and Development (CIPD) revealed that the number of companies planning staff redundancies is at its highest level in a decade, excluding the pandemic.

  • Approximately 90% of employers believe that Finance Minister Rachel Reeves' payroll tax hike, set to take effect in April 2025, will increase their employment costs.

  • Surveys indicate that 42% of employers plan to raise prices, while 32% intend to reduce their workforce through layoffs or by hiring fewer new employees.

  • CIPD Chief Executive Peter Cheese noted that the current drop in employer sentiment is the most significant in a decade, second only to the pandemic period.

  • The FSB survey also revealed that about 25% of small businesses expect their business size to contract in the near future.

  • Critics, including the Liberal Democrats, have labeled Reeves's tax measures as detrimental to the economy, particularly for small businesses, warning of potential job losses as companies grapple with increased costs.

  • Despite a slight growth of 0.1% in the UK economy during the last quarter of 2024, the Bank of England has revised its growth forecast for 2025 down to 0.75%.

  • In defense of the Budget, a Treasury spokesperson claimed it aims to provide stability for businesses while protecting workers from higher taxes, asserting that many employers would see no change or a reduction in their national insurance bills.

  • Reeves has defended the tax increases as a necessary, one-off measure to stabilize public finances and fund essential services and investments.

  • The government plans to stimulate economic growth through measures such as capping corporation tax and making various tax cuts permanent for the retail and hospitality sectors.

Summary based on 3 sources


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