UK Inflation Falls to 2.8% in February, Boosts Outlook for Chancellor Reeves' Spring Statement

March 26, 2025
UK Inflation Falls to 2.8% in February, Boosts Outlook for Chancellor Reeves' Spring Statement
  • Reeves is expected to propose significant savings through benefit reductions and trimming civil service costs, but may only achieve a fraction of the anticipated welfare cuts.

  • The Trade Union Congress (TUC) highlighted that low growth remains a significant challenge, despite falling inflation, with high interest rates continuing to impact households and businesses negatively.

  • UK inflation has decreased to 2.8% in February 2025, down from 3% in January, providing a positive outlook for Chancellor Rachel Reeves ahead of her spring statement.

  • Economists suggest that the recent drop in inflation increases the likelihood of a rate cut by the Bank of England in May 2025, with two more cuts forecasted by the end of the year.

  • The Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported this drop in inflation on the same day Reeves is set to announce spending cuts across government departments.

  • The decline in inflation is primarily attributed to a significant drop in the prices of women's clothing and shoes, which were the largest contributors to the overall decrease.

  • Despite the lower inflation rate, some analysts warn it may be temporary, predicting increases due to rising energy costs and national insurance hikes, potentially pushing inflation close to 4% by summer.

  • Furthermore, inflation rates are projected to rise in the coming months due to upcoming increases in energy and water bills scheduled for April.

  • Amid these economic challenges, Chief Secretary to the Treasury Darren Jones emphasized the government's commitment to economic stability and growth, pledging to protect workers' incomes.

  • Inflation has seen fluctuations recently, having decreased from a peak of over 11% in late 2022, but has gradually increased again since last summer.

  • Following the inflation data release, the British pound fell by 0.1% against the dollar, reflecting market reactions to the economic outlook.

  • The Bank of England maintained its key interest rate at 4.5%, citing increased uncertainty in global trade due to U.S. tariffs and EU import taxes.

Summary based on 8 sources


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