UK Inflation Holds at 3.8%: Bank of England Maintains 4% Interest Rate Amid Rising Food Costs

September 17, 2025
UK Inflation Holds at 3.8%: Bank of England Maintains 4% Interest Rate Amid Rising Food Costs
  • The UK’s inflation rate remains steady at 3.8% in August, with unchanged inflation pressures prompting the Bank of England to consider maintaining interest rates at 4% to help control rising consumer prices.

  • While some goods like clothing, footwear, cereals, and pasta have become cheaper due to retailer discounts and seasonal stock clearance, food inflation continues to be a concern.

  • Inflation peaked at 11.1% in October 2022, driven by rising energy and food costs amid post-COVID demand and geopolitical tensions, then declined to 1.7% in September 2024 before creeping back up.

  • Rising costs in the food and drink sector, including increased taxes and regulatory expenses, are contributing to inflation, prompting calls for government action to reduce these costs.

  • Despite the steady inflation rate, factors such as rising food and fuel prices and slower growth in wages are balancing out, with analysts noting that inflation remains above target and limits the likelihood of interest rate cuts.

  • Ongoing inflationary pressures highlight economic challenges, with policymakers and industry leaders urging measures to bring down costs and stabilize the economy.

  • The UK Chancellor, Rachel Reeves, faces scrutiny over her party’s economic policies, with expectations of potential tax increases in her upcoming autumn budget scheduled for late November.

  • Food inflation has been persistent, increasing to 5.1% in August, driven by higher prices for vegetables, cheese, and fish, and outpacing wage growth, which increased by 4.7% between May and July.

  • The Bank of England has raised interest rates over nearly two years to 4%, with rates peaking at 5.25% in August 2023, and is now monitoring inflation closely, with most economists expecting rates to stay at 4% during its upcoming meeting.

  • The inflation data was released just before the Bank of England’s interest rate decision, where most expect rates to remain unchanged due to persistent inflation, a weak labor market, and upcoming fiscal policies.

  • Following the inflation report, the pound sterling slightly declined against the dollar, trading at approximately $1.3637.

  • Chancellor Rachel Reeves has emphasized government measures such as increasing the National Living Wage, extending the bus fare cap, and expanding free school meals to support households facing higher costs.

Summary based on 6 sources


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