Texas GOP Faces Turmoil: Paxton's Senate Bid Sparks Concerns Amid Legal Woes, Cornyn Challenge

July 20, 2025
Texas GOP Faces Turmoil: Paxton's Senate Bid Sparks Concerns Amid Legal Woes, Cornyn Challenge
  • In Texas, Attorney General Ken Paxton's potential challenge to incumbent Senator John Cornyn has raised concerns among Republicans, especially given Paxton's legal troubles and recent personal issues, which could hinder his viability in the general election.

  • Despite Paxton's fundraising success, with $2.9 million in the second quarter of 2025 compared to Cornyn's $804,000, party strategists worry that his controversies might weaken his candidacy.

  • Republicans are also struggling with candidate recruitment in Texas, where a contentious primary could jeopardize a long-held Senate seat, adding to the overall uncertainty for the GOP in the state.

  • Meanwhile, Democrats are eyeing opportunities in states like Iowa and Ohio, where retirements and shifting candidate dynamics could open up chances for gains.

  • In North Carolina, the retirement of Senator Thom Tillis has created an opening that could benefit Democrats, with potential candidates like Governor Roy Cooper and Lara Trump, though her residency in Florida complicates her prospects.

  • In Michigan, Republicans see a chance to capitalize on Senator Gary Peters' retirement by backing former Representative Mike Rogers, who has Trump's support, though he faces competition from other GOP contenders.

  • The Michigan race is further complicated by a competitive Democratic primary, making the contest for the seat a key battleground.

  • Democrats plan to leverage backlash against recent Republican domestic policy bills, which have received unfavorable polling, as part of their broader campaign strategy heading into the elections.

  • Georgia presents a prime pickup opportunity for Republicans against Democrat Jon Ossoff, but the GOP is still searching for a prominent challenger, having failed to persuade Governor Brian Kemp to run.

  • The Georgia Senate race remains highly competitive, with Democrats holding the seat and Republicans struggling to find a strong candidate to challenge Ossoff.

  • Looking ahead to the 2026 Senate elections, both parties face challenges, with Democrats needing to net four seats to regain control amid a landscape of retirements and limited pickup opportunities.

  • In Iowa, Senator Joni Ernst has not yet announced her re-election plans but is preparing for a potential campaign, despite some criticism from within her party.

  • Louisiana Senator Bill Cassidy faces primary challenges and scrutiny from Trump loyalists over his impeachment vote against Trump, while Democrats are seeking a strong challenger.

  • North Carolina's political landscape remains uncertain following Senator Thom Tillis's retirement, with potential candidates like Lara Trump and RNC chair Michael Whatley emerging, though her residency in Florida could be a hurdle.

Summary based on 6 sources


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