George Santos Banned by Kalshi for Insider Trading Over State of the Union Bet
August 31, 2026
Kalshi permanently banned former U.S. Representative George Santos for insider trading tied to bets on whether he would attend the State of the Union, imposing a penalty of $71,356 and indicating the ban took effect the previous Friday.
Santos had publicly discussed his attendance on X and other outlets, a move Kalshi says could have influenced market outcomes.
Previously, Santos addressed attendance complaints on a podcast in March and later faced legal trouble, including a 2024 fraud and identity theft conviction, a seven-year sentence with only 84 days served before partial commutation by the president.
This development is part of broader coverage of political figures and ongoing U.S. political news in the broadcast.
Reactions from Buckhout and Midgley are included, noting their positions around their campaign-related bets.
The report notes other enforcement actions in prediction markets, including a similar probe into Gabriel Perez and Polymarket's stance on overseeing midterm elections without regulator intervention.
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The piece discusses defense-related influencer payments and disclosures in the Pentagon, referencing The Washington Post’s reporting on veterans with large social followings in civilian government roles.
North Carolina’s 1st District is characterized as a highly competitive seat, recently redrawn and listed as Lean Republican by the Cook Political Report.
Related industry developments include ongoing regulatory attention from the CFTC and DOJ on prediction-market insider trading and other enforcement actions.
Trump proposed replenishing the U.S. strategic oil reserve with Venezuelan oil, exploring a lease-like arrangement for Venezuelan fields, though feasibility remains uncertain.
Summary based on 35 sources
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Sources

TechCrunch • Aug 31, 2026
Kalshi bans George Santos for life over State of the Union bets
AP News • Aug 31, 2026
George Santos banned by Kalshi for insider trading on prediction platform | AP News
Gizmodo • Aug 31, 2026
George Santos Gets Kalshi’s First-Ever Lifetime Ban