IMF Forecasts 3.2% Global Growth; India to Lead as Fastest Growing Economy

April 16, 2024
IMF Forecasts 3.2% Global Growth; India to Lead as Fastest Growing Economy
  • The IMF has raised its global growth forecast for 2024 to 3.2%, with India's growth projection increased to 6.8%, making it the fastest growing economy.

  • Despite global growth, the IMF warns of inflation and geopolitical risks, including instability in the Middle East and the war in Ukraine.

  • The IMF advises countries to tackle high debt-to-GDP ratios and recommends that the US Federal Reserve proceed cautiously with economic easing.

  • Inflation is expected to ease, with headline inflation projected to fall to 2.8% by the end of 2024, and the US economy showing strength above its pre-pandemic trend.

  • The IMF emphasizes the need for credible fiscal consolidations and maintaining high real interest rates to improve financial stability.

  • Risks to the global economy include China's property sector issues and potential commodity price spikes due to conflicts.

  • The IMF stresses the importance of addressing supply-side problems, attracting foreign investment, and supporting education and climate transition for sustainable growth.

  • An aging population in industrialized countries is a concern, with the IMF urging measures like immigration to maintain workforce levels.

Summary based on 53 sources


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