Surprise Rebel Offensive Takes Aleppo, Assad Possibly Flees Amidst Syrian Military Retreat
November 29, 2024The conflict in Syria has escalated dramatically with a surprise rebel offensive on Aleppo, marking the first significant opposition attack on the city since 2016.
On November 29, reports indicated that 24 civilians were killed, including 19 from Russian airstrikes targeting rebel-held areas.
Analysts noted a lack of substantial resistance from government forces, with some troops reportedly retreating from their positions amid the insurgent advance.
Reports suggest that the Syrian military is retreating without significant defense, allegedly with orders to regroup further south in Homs.
The United Nations special envoy for Syria, Geir Pedersen, warned that the insurgent advances pose risks to regional security and called for renewed diplomatic efforts to resolve the conflict.
There are unverified rumors of an attempted coup against Assad, involving General Hassam Louka, adding to the uncertainty surrounding the regime's stability.
Karam Shaar from the New Lines Institute described the situation as one of 'panic,' suggesting that the regime may collapse within days due to the unexpected speed of the rebel advances.
The rapid territorial gains by the rebels have surprised analysts, indicating vulnerabilities within the Syrian regime and a likelihood of diminished resistance from pro-government forces.
Assad's government has struggled to respond effectively, retreating and leaving behind substantial military resources, while Russian support appears to be waning.
Amidst the chaos, reports suggest that Assad may have fled to Moscow with his family, raising questions about his political future and the state of the regime.
The United States is actively monitoring the situation, while Israel expresses concern over the potential implications of the rebel advances.
Rebels have also taken control of government buildings and prisons, further consolidating their power as government troops retreat to the suburbs.
Summary based on 117 sources
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Sources
The Guardian • Nov 30, 2024
Russian and Syrian warplanes target insurgents in AleppoBBC News • Nov 30, 2024
Syria: Who are Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, the rebels seizing control of Aleppo?BBC News • Nov 30, 2024
Syrian troops withdraw from Aleppo as rebels advanceBBC News • Nov 29, 2024
Syria rebels enter Aleppo city, reports say