Morgan Stanley Crowns Tesla Top Pick, Shares Soar 6% with 40% Upside Forecast

July 29, 2024
Morgan Stanley Crowns Tesla Top Pick, Shares Soar 6% with 40% Upside Forecast
  • Morgan Stanley has named Tesla as its top pick in the U.S. automotive sector, replacing Ford, which has led to a nearly 6% rise in Tesla shares.

  • Analysts project a 40% upside for Tesla, setting a target price of $310 based on various factors, including the company's strong market position.

  • Analysts noted that Tesla's credit sales could support a 100% margin business, a potential that may not be fully recognized by investors.

  • As legacy automakers scale back their EV plans and EPA standards tighten, Tesla's market position for zero-emission vehicle (ZEV) credits is expected to strengthen.

  • Tesla leads the ZEV credit market, reporting approximately $2,000 in ZEV credit revenue per unit, more than double the recent run-rate.

  • Investors are eagerly awaiting Tesla's upcoming robotaxi launch event, which has been delayed to October for vehicle adjustments.

  • Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas expects Tesla's stock to rise by 40% this year, although he warns that expectations for full self-driving (FSD) may be overly ambitious in the short term.

  • Both analysts suggest that while Tesla's FSD software may not be fully refined yet, improvements could align with the anticipated launch of the Model 2 by 2030.

  • A recent report indicates a shift in sentiment regarding Tesla's FSD capabilities, suggesting that the company may have solved significant challenges.

  • Recurring services revenue and Tesla's strong position in energy storage are expected to bolster the company's future prospects.

  • Despite the positive outlook, Tesla reported its lowest profit margin in over five years and missed Wall Street earnings targets for the second quarter.

Summary based on 4 sources


Get a daily email with more Financial Markets stories

Sources

Why Tesla Stock Raced Ahead 5% on Monday

The Motley Fool • Jul 29, 2024

Why Tesla Stock Raced Ahead 5% on Monday


Tesla stock is a new top pick at Morgan Stanley

More Stories